Cappers Share Betting Resoltions; News Flash – Public Actually Wins Week 17; Best and Worst Bets in 2013

2014

 

Pro handicappers share sports betting New Year’s resolutions

By COVERS.COM STAFF

www.covers.com

It’s New Year’s resolution time. Some folks want to eat healthier while others plan on going to the gym more often. Our Covers Experts are no different.

They’ll likely continue eating terrible and ignoring the gym, but they do have some sports betting resolutions for 2014. They share those New Year’s resolutions with you before the clock strikes 12:00 on 2013.

Steve Merril – “I plan on focusing more on momentum in all sports. Play on teams that are hot and fade teams that are struggling, until I see a reversal or a change. Do not ask a bad team to break out of a slump and do not expect a hot team to cool off. Wait until I see visual confirmation that something has changed before going against a hot team or starting to back a cold team.”

Jesse Schule – “After a very profitable NHL season at the beginning of 2013, my fans on Facebook and Twitter started calling me ‘Iceman’, a title that I have since embraced. I haven’t exactly done a great job living up to my reputation in the first few months of the current hockey season and turning that around is one of my top priorities in the New Year. If December is any indication, all signs point to a strong showing in 2014.”

Teddy Covers – “My New Year’s resolution is pretty much the same every year: Pick more winners, Avoid more losers. Until I finish a year at 75 percent or higher across all sports, that’s likely to be my New Years’ resolution moving forward.”

Art Aronson – “I don’t plan to change up too much of anything, other than I want to get more involved in playing Soccer, MMA and other sort of fringe sports. With World Cup 2014 arriving quickly, it’s time to sharpen up my skills on the pitch.”

Nick Parsons – “To quit listening to other people’s opinions. This is one area I need to strengthen. We all listen to the highlights the next day. We all listen to the talking heads on TV, the internet, Twitter and Facebook. But, as radio talk show host Jim Rome has pointed out many times over the course of his career, no coach, no ex-player, no expert knows sports the way that the oddsmakers in Las Vegas know sports. I’m guilty – as I’m sure we all are – of sometimes getting caught up listening to these people while formulating my final decisions on my selections. That ends in 2014.”

Marc Lawrence – “Quit trying to beat Peyton Manning each week. Finally give up on the Houston Texans. Stop betting on losing teams off a win and instead start betting on winning teams off a loss. Never use favorites with bad defenses. And finally, I will try to figure out why I really need nine e-mail addresses.”

Doc’s Sports – “In pro football, we will look to avoid using teams for two straight weeks. Momentum is less prevalent in the NFL as every player is a pro, so we will try and avoid teams that are coming off a blowout victory in prior week where everything went right. Things will not likely happen like this for the next game, and the odds have likely over-adjusted.”

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happy sports bettors

NFL Week 17 hits Vegas with worst loss of season

Parlays involving Joe Public’s favorite teams do serious damage Sunday  

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By: Micah Roberts    www.linesakers.sportingnews.com

LAS VEGAS — Good things supposedly come to those who wait, but after 16 NFL Sundays this season, bettors were about to stick a fork in that theory. However, in their last attempt to put together one more run at the riches with a full slate of Week 17 games to bet, their patience was rewarded as they struck gold in what turned out to be the most entertaining and profitable Sunday of the season for Joe Public.

“It was our worst week of the year,” Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick said. “We ended up winning only two games, Atlanta (+6 vs. Carolina) and the Jets (+7 at Miami), and then lost all seven of the afternoon games.”

The South Point sports book’s Jimmy Vaccaro was in the same boat, also calling Sunday the “worst day of the year.”

“We had plenty of (large) sharp money on the sides that lost,” Vaccaro said, “but that money could do nothing to balance out the parlays that hit. We had a $100 10-team parlay hit for $80,000 and another payout at $60,000, with all kinds of smaller parlays cashing in, and several waiting to cash with the Eagles as well.”

All season long bettors have been waiting for the stars to align so their favorite teams to bet might all cover on the same day, but it hadn’t happened and the books came away with wins almost every week. That is until Week 17, the week that the books treat with special precautions because of so many variables tied to several games.

On this particular Sunday, the Steelers and Bengals started the snowball rolling during the eight early games. The Steelers needed all kinds of help to make the playoffs (they didn’t get it), and the small and large money was behind them as they pushed the number from an opener of -6 up to -9 by kickoff and ended up getting the 20-7 win and covering against the visiting Browns.

The Bengals had covered all seven of their previous home games, and laying six at home to Baltimore seemed simple enough. The number was pushed to -7, and they came away with a 34-17 win despite four interceptions by Andy Dalton. It was also the only early game to go OVER the total.

But the real damage was done in the afternoon when the most popular betting teams for the past two seasons all came flying in and covering the number. The Packers, Broncos, Patriots, 49ers, Seahawks and Saints did the final damage and helped give bettors a little Christmas bonus by linking many of them up in parlays.

Bettors were skeptical of a rusty Aaron Rodgers returning to action at Chicago, but couldn’t resist laying -3 with the Packers, who have owned Jay Cutler and the Bears in recent years. Sharp money was on the Raiders at home against the Broncos, pushing the number from +13 to +10, but parlay bettors couldn’t get enough of the Broncos, and they never had to sweat as the Broncos took a 31-0 lead to the half and won 34-14 even with Peyton Manning sitting out the second half.

The Bills got some sharp support at New England, which dropped the Patriots from -8.5 to -7. But an estimated 75 percent of all tickets written on the game were on the favorite, New England, which won 34-20. The 49ers opened as a 3-point favorite at Arizona, but sharps bet the Cardinals to -3 by kickoff, while the public stuck with their Niners, who won 23-20. Seattle rolled to a 27-9 win as an 11.5-point home favorite against the Rams.

But the side that truly embodies the spirit of the public sticking to its guns was the Saints’ 42-17 home win against the Buccaneers. Although New Orleans had failed to cover four of its last five games — mostly on the road — and had stayed UNDER the total in the last six, the public came strong with Saints (-10.5) to the OVER (47) parlay combination. The Saints were one of the most one-sided bets in parlays on the day, along with Denver.

“(The public) got us on just about everything today,” LVH Super Book VP Jay Kornegay said. “Teasers, parlays off the board, parlay cards, you name it, they did very well, but I’m not going to complain because it was an outstanding season overall, maybe one of the best.”

“No tears here,” said Vaccaro.

Station Casinos may have been hit the hardest of all because they do more parlay action than any chain of books in Nevada, but they also know that they live and die by the sword that is the bulk of their action.

“We know that weeks like this are going to happen occasionally, because it always does,” said McCormick. “But overall, it’s been a great season, and we aren’t complaining. It’s just part of the business.”

And for bettors who have been getting sand kicked in their face all season, consistently missing that one game in their parlays, congratulations for sticking with it. Sometimes patience does pay off.

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best worst

Here is something you may want to keep in mind for 2014 …

Year in review: Best and worst sports bets of 2013

By COVERS.COM STAFF 

The calendar flips to 2014 and offers sports bettors a chance to look back on the biggest winners and losers of the past year.

Here are the best and worst wagers from the major sports in 2013:

NFL

Best: Arizona, San Francisco, Seattle (11-5 ATS) Worst: Houston Texas (4-12 ATS)

Over:  Chicago, Minnesota (12-4 O/U) Under: Carolina Panthers (5-11 O/U)

NBA

Best: Oklahoma City Thunder (49-31-2 ATS 2012-13, 17-13 ATS 2013-14) Worst: Milwaukee Bucks (37-45 ATS 2012-13, 11-19 ATS 2013-14)

Over: Portland Trail Blazers (44-36-2 O/U 2012-13, 24-7 O/U 2013-14) Under: Chicago Bulls (37-44-1 O/U 2012-13, 12-17 O/U 2013-14)

MLB

Best: Cleveland Indians (92-70, +24.92 units) Worst: Chicago White Sox (63-99, -32.18 units)

Over: Los Angeles Angels (88-68-6 O/U) Under: Kansas City Royals (61-92-9 O/U)

NCAAF

Best: Auburn, Florida State (11-2 ATS) Worst: California, Eastern Michigan, UTEP (2-10 ATS)

Over: Troy Trojans (11-1 O/U) Under: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-10 O/U)

NCAAB

Best: Iowa Hawkeyes (24-10 ATS 2012-13, 7-4 ATS 2013-14) Worst: Indiana-Purdue Jaguars (6-22 ATS 2012-13, 4-7 ATS 2013-14)

Over: Iowa State Cyclones (21-5 O/U 2012-13, 4-4 O/U 2013-14) Under: Cincinnati Bearcats (5-22 O/U 2012-13, 1-6 O/U 2013-14)

NHL

Best: Columbus Blue Jackets (36-12 ATS 2013, 24-15 ATS 2013-14) Worst: San Jose Sharks (19-29 ATS 2013, 17-22 ATS 2013-14)

Over: New York Islanders (26-21 O/U 2013, 21-18 O/U 2013-14) Under: Boston Bruins (16-28 O/U 2013, 11-15 O/U 2013-14)

CFL

Best: Calgary Stampeders (11-6-1 ATS) Worst: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-12-1 ATS)

Over: Edmonton Eskimos (12-6 O/U) Under: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-12 O/U)

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