Broncos Open -8.5 Vs. Chiefs; Sports Books Batter Bettors; Stanford Faces Up and Coming USC

broncos cher

NFL Week 11 opening point spreads and line moves – Broncos a substantial favorite over Chiefs

Panthers laying points vs. Patriots

The Broncos’ Peyton Manning says he plans on playing vs. the Chiefs after sustaining a leg injury Sunday.

By: The Linemakers
The Week 11 NFL card is loaded with key divisional games and a few gems between teams with championship aspirations – Chiefs at Broncos, 49ers at Saints and Patriots at Panthers.

Here’s a look at the opening point spreads. Lines are from the LVH SuperBook

Colts (-2.5/-120) at Titans

Both of Thursday night’s participants were victims of startling upsets at home on Sunday. Indianapolis was crushed by the Rams, 38-3, while Tennessee became the first team to lose to
the Jaguars. William Hill opened Indy -3 (even), with a total of 42.5. The Titans have an opportunity to close the Colts’ AFC South lead to one game with a win in this game.

Falcons at Bucs (pick ‘em)

Atlanta fell to 2-7 SU and ATS with Sunday’s 33-10 home loss to the Seahawks. Tampa is looking for its first win of the season, at home Monday against the Dolphins. This will be the
second meeting of the season between these NFC South foes, the Falcons winning, 31-23, and getting the cash as a 6-point favorite in Week 7. The Bucs opened as a 1-point fave for next
week’s clash at William Hill.

Jets at Bills (-1)

Buffalo was a loser in Pittsburgh Sunday. The Jets, who were off this week, won the Week 3 meeting with the Bills, 27-20, as 2.5-point home chalk.

Lions (-3 even) at Steelers

Detroit sits at 6-3 and alone atop the NFC North after Sunday’s win in Chicago. The Steelers got their third win of the season and need to start stringing victories together to have
any chance at a playoff run. The Lions are 3-1 ATS on the season when laying points on the road. The role of home dog is a rare one for the Steelers, who are 3-1-1 when getting points
at home since 2007, Mike Tomlin’s first year as head coach. William Hill opened Detroit -2.5.

Redskins at Eagles (-3.5)

Philly beat a quarterbacked-challenged Packers team at Lambeau Field, while the Redskins lost Thursday night in Minnesota. The Eagles won in Washington in Week 1, but are a bankroll-
busting 0-11-1 ATS at home over the last two seasons. The Wynn opened this game -3.5 (even).

Chargers (-1) at Dolphins

San Diego lost at home to the Broncos, 28-20, and failed to get the cash as a 7-point dog. Miami is a 2-point favorite in Tampa on Monday night.

Ravens at Bears (-2.5)

Baltimore prevailed at home in overtime against the Bengals, while Chicago was a missed 2-point conversion away from sending its game vs. Detroit into OT. Jay Cutler left the game with
an ankle sprain, and there’s been no word of his status for next week.

Browns at Bengals (-6)

Cincy’s road woes continued – they’re now 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS away from home. But next Sunday, the Bengals are back home, where they’re a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS. They have a chance to
avenge one of those road losses next week, as Cleveland took the season’s first meeting, 17-6. The Wynn opened this game 6.5.

Raiders at Texans (-7)

Both teams covered in road losses on Sunday, Oakland (+7) at the Giants, and Houston (+3.5) at Arizona. Houston opened -6.5 at William Hill.

Cardinals (-6.5) at Jaguars

While Jacksonville is no longer winless, Arizona has quietly risen to 5-4 SU.

Chiefs at Broncos (-8.5)

The AFC West clash we’ve all been waiting for has been flexed into NBC’s primetime slot. Peyton Manning hurt his right leg in Denver’s win at San Diego and said he’ll have it examined
Monday, and the LVH took this game off the board. “I’m pretty sore,” Manning said, per the team’s Twitter feed. “They kind of got me twice in that lower area…get an MRI tomorrow and
will know more then.” Asked whether he’s confident about playing next week, Manning responded, “I certainly plan on it.” The Wynn opened Denver -8.

Vikings at Seahawks (-13)

Seattle is a stout 9-1 SU on the season after Sunday’s convincing win in Atlanta, but is just 1-3 ATS as double-digit favorite this season. The Wynn came a tick higher here, opening

49ers at Saints (-2.5/-120)

San Francisco was dealt a home defeat by Carolina, which held the Niners to 151 yards of offense. New Orleans hosted Dallas Sunday night.

Packers at Giants (no line)

Green Bay finds itself in an even deeper quarterback quandary, as Seneca Wallace, who was starting in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers, went out early in Sunday’s game against the
Eagles. Third-stringer Scott Tolzien stepped in, and the team announced he’ll start in New York next week.

Patriots at Panthers (-2.5)

A win at San Francisco convinced oddsmakers of Carolina’s legitimacy. When the SuperBook posted early Week 11 lines last week, the Panthers were -1 for next Monday’s home date against
New England. The Pats are 16-8-2 as road underdog since 2003.


sad face emoticon

Sports book industry report – Underdogs rise to the occasion in Week 10
Broncos’ first UNDER helps books to winning day

Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers finally notched a signature win, defeating the San Francisco 49ers 10-9.

By: Micah Roberts

It was a dog day Sunday with the two biggest favorites of Week 10 getting beat outright, helping the Las Vegas sports books to a winning day in the process. The biggest upset of all
came when the Jacksonville Jaguars won at Tennessee 29-27, a game the Titans opened as 13.5-point favorites last Sunday at the LVH. Sharp money took the points with Jacksonville,
pushing the line down to -11 by kickoff, but the majority of parlay bettors sided with the Titans. The Jags never trailed in the game and scored more points than they had in any
contest all season. They have now defeated Tennessee in four of their last six meetings.

The other double-digit dog that won outright was the St. Louis Rams, who blew out the Colts 38-8 at Indianapolis. The Colts opened as 11-point home favorites, and just like the Jaguars
game, sharp money pushed the dog number down all the way to 7.5. Despite the lower spread, parlay players didn’t care what the number was and played the Colts like they do almost every
week. This is a team with wins against the Broncos, 49ers and Seahawks – three of the best teams in the league – so why not lay the points at home against the then 3-6 Rams?

The only game of the morning where the majority of parlay bettors had the right side was the Seahawks beating the Falcons 33-10, a game that opened up with Seattle as 7-point road
favorites. Sharp money on Atlanta pushed the number all the way to 3.5 by kickoff. The bad news for Joe Public with its Seattle play was that most of the other early games linked up on
its parlay failed to cover, such as the Giants winning 24-20 over the Raiders, but failing to cover the 7-point spread.

One of the more popular wagers of the early games was the Bengals, who opened as a 2-point road favorite at Baltimore. The Ravens had failed to cover their last three games, but were
dominating a defensive battle, leading 17-10 with one Bengals desperation throw remaining. The Hail Mary was answered, a 51-yard TD pass from Andy Dalton to A.J. Green that was twice
tipped by Ravens defenders. It was easily the biggest roar of the day from the crowd in the sports books. The Ravens would dampen the mood, however, as they kicked a field goal in
overtime to win 20-17.

“It was a good day,” said Aliante sports book director Marc Nelson. “We were up in the A.M. games, but did even better in the afternoon. How often is it a good thing for us when the
Broncos cover a spread? Usually, we get carried out when that happens, but we were pretty balanced on the game. The only thing we were long on was the OVER.”

The Broncos had gone OVER the total in all eight of their games this season. Denver hadn’t played in two weeks, but bettors quickly remembered how much they had been cashing with
Broncos totals this season and bet them OVER religiously all week until kickoff. It didn’t matter if the total was 57.5 or 58.5, but in the end, the Broncos’ 28-20 win made the books
pretty happy.

The books also did very well with the two other afternoon games. The 49ers, favored by 6-points, fell 10-9 in a defensive battle at home with the Panthers. The 49ers had covered their
last five games in a row heading into the game, and the Panthers, now with the win, have covered five straight and proved that they are a team to be respected the rest of the season.
The knock on Carolina was that they hadn’t played anyone, but now they have that signature win over one of the league’s best.

The Cardinals beat the Texans 27-24, a game many bettors pushed on. Arizona had been bet up from an opener of -2.5 to -3 and was -3.5 by kickoff, but the books still made out okay with
the decision despite the middle opportunity. By the time the late game between the Cowboys and Saints came around, there was hardly any liability remaining.

“We’re a little extended on the OVER (55),” said Nelson, “but we really didn’t have any carryover from the first two wave of games like we usually do.

The Cowboys found some backers as the line dropped from Saints -7 to -6. Dallas had covered seven of their nine games on the year, but was quickly disposed of in the Superdome, 49-17.

Favorites went 6-6 against-the-spread on the day with four of the underdogs winning outright.


stanford tree

College football odds: Week 12 opening line report

As the days get shorter, the games get more important, with the NCAA football schedule moving into Week 12, highlighted by a West Coast showdown in the Pac-12.

Stanford dealt a severe blow to Oregon’s national championship hopes in the game of the week last week, and the Cardinal (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) next travel downstate to meet resurgent Southern Cal (7-3, 5-5 ATS) on Saturday night at the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Stanford has covered the spread in its last three games and five its last seven. More important, the Cardinal have owned the rivalry with the Trojans lately, going 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six clashes, including 3-0 SU and ATS at the Coliseum.

According to Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, this game became tougher to set a line due to USC’s upswing (4-1 SU and ATS) since the firing of Lane Kiffin, with Ed Orgeron taking over as interim coach. The Trojans hammered host California 62-28 on Saturday.

“It’s a good game with a lot riding on it,” Korner said. “Our range went from pick to Stanford -3.5, and we sent out -2.5. Stanford is the better team, no doubt, but since the coaching
change at USC, the Trojans have looked pretty good. USC will be challenged to score against the tough Stanford defense, but we think the game line will hold pretty well just where it

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor Bears (-27)

Baylor (8-0 SU) is third in the nation against the spread (7-1 ATS), and the Bears are coming off a 42-14 home drubbing of Oklahoma. Baylor’s high-octane offense leads the nation,
averaging a whopping 687.6 yards and 61 points a game. Baylor also has a top-10 defense, yielding just 15.4 ppg.

Texas Tech (7-3, 5-5 ATS) also has a prolific offense, churning out 530.5 ypg and 37.8 ppg. In the past two meetings, these two teams have piled up the points, with the Bears going 2-0
SU and ATS in wins of 52-45 in overtime last year and 66-42 in 2011. Both were neutral-site games at the home of the Dallas Cowboys, where Saturday’s game will also be played.

“Not much to say about Baylor games. Pretty much we go with the highest number of the oddsmakers on staff. This week it was Baylor -27, and that’s what we sent out. After manhandling
Oklahoma, both sharps and squares will be all over the favorite again this week. We can only see this game going up from here.”

Georgia Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers (-3.5)

Georgia (6-3 SU) was considered a national title contender at the beginning of the season, but the Bulldogs have been reduced to spoiler role for this SEC showdown, and if past
performance is any guarantee of future results, they won’t cover. The Bulldogs are a meager 1-7-1 ATS this year – 122nd among the 125 FBS teams.

Meanwhile, Auburn (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) has made a huge turnaround from last season (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS), with a top-10 ranking and an outside shot at making the SEC championship game
(archrival Alabama stands firmly in the way).

In the Dawgs’ favor: They’ve hammered the Tigers each of the last two years, 38-0 laying 15.5 points at Auburn last season and 45-7 giving 12 at home in 2011.

“Our range was from pick to Auburn -4.5, and we sent out -3.5. My quick knee-jerk reaction after looking at it again was probably too low. Auburn has stepped it up offensively the past
five, six weeks and looks to be primed for this big SEC game. Georgia is no easy task, but as far as the line goes, we could see the wise guys hopping on the home team by kickoff.”

Ball State Cardinals at Northern Illinois Huskies (-8)

Off the big-time college football grid a bit, Northern Illinois is making a bid to be a BCS buster for the second-straight year.

The unbeaten Huskies (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) first must secure the West Division title in the Mid-American Conference in a Wednesday night tilt with the Cardinals (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS), with
both teams unbeaten in league play (Ball State 6-0, NIU 5-0).

NIU has cashed in its last three games and five of its last six, and the Huskies have won the last four in this rivalry (2-2 ATS).

“This is a big game in the MAC and should attract some good money,” Korner said. “We had a range of Northern Illinois -6.5 to -9, and we sent out -8. Northern Illinois has been scoring
at an outrageous pace the past few weeks (59 and 63 points the last two games, respectively), and we feel it will be a challenge for Ball State to keep up. Not that Ball State won’t be
competitive. The higher the better here. Offshores look to be a little low on this one, sitting at 5-5.5.”

Be Sociable, Share!

Comments are closed.