Current Super Bowl Odds; Possible Bowl Game Match Ups
Super Bowl XLVI Odds
Here are the latest Super Bowl Odds from 5dimes. Tthe odds have reflected the strong starts of Green Bay (+210) and San Francisco (+900), while New England (+460) is second. The NY Jets are now in the middle of the pack at +5500 and Houston has jumped up to +1500. Listed below are the most recent Super Bowl odds from 5dimes.
Odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl XLVI
Super Bowl XLVI
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Green Bay Packers +210
New England Patriots +460
San Francisco 49ers +900
New Orleans Saints +1100
Pittsburgh Steelers +1100
Baltimore Ravens +1300
Houston Texans +1500
Dallas Cowboys +2000
Chicago Bears +3300
Atlanta Falcons +3500
Detroit Lions +3500
Philadelphia Eagles +3800
Oakland Raiders +4000
New York Giants +4500
San Diego Chargers +4500
New York Jets +5500
Cincinnati Bengals +10000
Denver Broncos +15000
Tennessee Titans +20000
Buffalo Bills +25000
Kansas City Chiefs +50000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +50000
Arizona Cardinals +100000
Jacksonville Jaguars +100000
Washington Redskins +100000
Carolina Panthers +250000
Cleveland Browns +250000
Indianapolis Colts +250000
Miami Dolphins +250000
Minnesota Vikings +250000
Seattle Seahawks +250000
St Louis Rams +250000
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Speculating on NCAA football bowl matchups and opening lines
by Micah Roberts
Micah can be found all around town, but you can definitely read what he has to say at the super gaming website www.gamingtoday.com
One of the fun things to do at this juncture of the season is speculate on college football bowl matchups and possible opening lines.
Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White, co-star of “The Linemakers’ TV show on Discovery’s Velocity channel, gave his raw number on all the games with LSU being favored against anyone they match up against. That’s of course assuming the top-ranked Tigers beat Arkansas next week and Georgia in the SEC title game.
I say ‘raw number’ because that’s a figure compiled strictly on White’s rating for a neutral site. The sports books will then take that number and see if they can do any tinkering in justifying a move to a key number like 3, 4, 6, 7 or 10 as their starting point.
This allows some flexibility to absorb multiple limit bets before making a move and limiting exposure with middle opportunities. For example, if you opened LSU -2 against Oklahoma, one limit bet on the favorite might take you to -2½ and then maybe two limit bets from there to -3.
Whereas, if you opened -3 from the start, you could absorb three to four limit bets on Oklahoma before going to -2½.
Obviously, the market dictates what the games open at as well, but with isolated Bowl games, most Las Vegas sports books have a side they’ve chosen based on all their data accumulated from the season. The handle is so large in these games that they’re all basically treated like mini-Super Bowls.
Here’s a look at White‘s projected bowl numbers with comments on what the sports book might do with the figure:
LSU -1 vs. Alabama: There’s a feeling the public and sharp money both like LSU. Starting at -2½ to see if Alabama money can quickly be found might be an early strategy. If LSU money still comes in, the book saved itself two to three moves up the ladder and limit exposure where they can be beaten by both sides.
LSU -2½ vs. Oklahoma: There are factions that still believe Oklahoma is the best team in the nation. A sports book would open -3 and say, “show me the money.”
LSU -3 vs. Oklahoma State: The Cowboys can score at will, but could find some issues with LSU’s defense. Although LSU hasn’t looked good offensively all season, they might be at their best against Oklahoma State’s defense. The public would still side with LSU and the book might want to get closer to -5 by opening -4½.
LSU -3 vs. Oregon: The Ducks are a very popular public team on the west coast. In games like this, they have to be respected almost as much as the sharp money because their contributions to the overall cash pile will outweigh the sharps. LSU -3 would be a good starting point to see where the money takes them, if anywhere.
Should LSU lose in the next three weeks, it’s a wild dash to the finish. The loser of Oklahoma-Oklahoma State on Dec. 3 is out of contention for the national title. If Oklahoma wins, then Alabama would be in the driver’s seat.
Oregon would have to win very impressively over USC this weekend to help offset the surge in points Oklahoma would get by beating OSU.
Here’s White’s projected lines involving Alabama in the BCS National Championship game under the scenario that LSU loses:
Alabama -1½ vs. Oklahoma
Alabama -1½ vs. Oklahoma State
Alabama -2½ vs. Oregon
Here’s a look at White’s projected line for a couple of other BCS Bowl games possibilities:
Orange Bowl: Clemson -7 vs. Cincinnati
Sugar Bowl: Alabama -4 vs. Stanford
Rose Bowl: Oregon -2½ vs. Wisconsin
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma -10 vs. Houston
